The delayed monsoon in India is expected to regain momentum in the next three to four days, covering crucial rice, soybean, cotton, and sugar cane growing regions in the southern, central, and western states, according to weather officials on Tuesday.
The monsoon, India’s $3 trillion economy’s lifeblood, provides about 70% of the rain required for water farms and recharge reservoirs and aquifers. It also provides respite from the heat in the summer.
Rains often begin to fall in Kerala, India’s southwest coast, around June 1 and blanket about half of the country by mid-June.
This year, the creation of severe storm Biparjoy in the Arabian Sea delayed the onset of the monsoon, limiting its progress to only one-third of the country thus far.
“Conditions are improving for the monsoon to strengthen.” “It will move quickly in the central, western, and northern parts of the country beginning this weekend,” said a senior official with the India Meteorological Department (IMD).
Cotton, soybeans, and pulses are primarily grown in the country’s central region, the largest importer of vegetable oils and pulses and the leading cotton producer.
So far in June, India has gotten 33% less rainfall than normal, with certain states suffering up to 95% deficits.
IMD Director on upcoming Monsoon in India:
“Based on the information we have now, it appears that monsoon rains will be good this week,” said Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, Director General of the IMD.
The International Meteorological Department predicts below-average rains in June, with the monsoon likely to pick up in July, August, and September.
Despite creating a likely El Nino weather phenomenon, the IMD has anticipated an average amount of rainfall for the entire four-month season.
A significant El Nino, defined by a warming of the Pacific Ocean’s sea surface, can produce severe drought in Southeast Asia, India, and Australia while flooding other parts of the world, such as the United States, Midwest and Brazil, with rain.
The advent of a severe El Nino caused back-to-back droughts in 2014 and 2015 for only the 4th time in over a century, forcing Indian farmers into abject poverty.
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